Australian election vote forecast 2025

Methodology statement

  • Sample size is n=2,000 voters from across Australia

  • Fieldwork was conducted between 24-28 April 2025

  • Data has been weighted to be representative of Australian voters

  • Margin of error is +/- 2% for topline results


*Note Figures are rounded to whole numbers in the above and exceed 100%
Estimates rounded to 100% based on nearest half percentile (Coalition 34% / Labor 31% / Greens 14.5% / One Nation 9.5% / Other 11%)

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Election 2025 - Key Issues & Response